Monthly Archives: January 2016

Beware of candidates who offer the snake oil cure for anything and everything that ails the country! The hucksters who normally sell stuff on the midway have moved into Ring #1 under the big top. There is no snake oil or simple political rhetoric that can resolve issues like employment, terrorism, immigration, minimum wage, equal pay, etc. To achieve solutions to these issues and the host of others, a change agent candidate must have an elected operational team to shepherd change through the democratic process in order to achieve a paradigm shift. Remember the candidates will most certainly sell you snake oil, but it won’t cure anything except one’s naivety. Nothing successfully implements ideas more than hard work and commitment. Don’t buy the snake oil sales pitch!

gileisner 1/28/2016

It will be interesting to see who actually shows up to the caucuses/primaries and their outcomes. Each party in each state set its’ own rules regarding who can participate in their caucus. Basically, all party caucuses and primaries require that a participant attending the caucus/primary must be a registered voter in that party. So the 40% of eligible voters who are classified as independents (no party affiliation) cannot participate in the presidential candidate selection process unless they choose to register in one of the political parties and attend their caucus or vote in their primary. Now if one is a disciple of Machiavelli, an independent might want to register in the party they would like to see fail in the general election and during the caucus/primary process champion, support and vote for the weakest candidates in that party.
The opportunity cost an independent pays for this Machivellian play is nil, nada, nothing…because as an independent one wouldn’t have had any caucus or primary opportunity in first place. An independent would only be able to vote in the November general election.
Will the caucuses/primaries be attended by Machiavelli or the tooth fairy? That is the question!
Remember politics is a blood sport and one must know how the game is played, not necessarily the rules of the game.
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gileisner 1/23/2016

It’s now a couple of weeks when the primaries and caucuses begin and what do all those polls numbers really mean? Indicated eligible voter affiliation nationally runs approximately as follows: 30% Democratic, 30% Republican, and 40% Independent. Such being the case, what is the meaning of a poll that relates a specific candidate has 30% favorable position in their party? That’s 30% of 30% or 9% of the eligible popular vote. And so it goes, 40% of the electorate don’t affiliate with either party for whatever reason. Back in the 19th century a similar situation occurred, resulting in the creation of a third party, the Populist Party. Buts that’s another post!
A smart candidate would start looking at the Independent voter and what are issues and values of concern to them. Even more important during these circus days is the forgotten down ticket positions like the Congress, Governors, Secretary of State, and the legislatures where 100s of millions of dollars are being spent by dark money front organizations and billionaire donors.

The Future Begins Today!

gileisner 1/21/2016
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Note: I’m going nuts! An hour after I drafted this post, Meet The Press Daily had a segment on the independent vote!

A recent report to the World Economic Forum revealed that 62 individuals have wealth equal to 3,500,000,000 people, half of the world population. As the wealthiest continues to increase their wealth, the middle class continues to fall behind and the poor get poorer. The question one should ask is “who in the other half of 3.5 billion people will be in a position to continue to support the other needs of these 62?” The wealthy may be able to buy a high speed auto, a yacht, or a jet, but will the road, the harbor, or the airport be there for them?

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GILEISNER 1/19/2016
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It is January and the circus has come to town! Although it’s a three ring circus the media has focused on ring number one, the presidential election. During this period that ring has been pretty much a clown show and as such the media has wrapped its’ 24 hour news cycle around it. Yes the caucuses/primaries will most likely determine which candidates will go into the party conventions with the possibility of being nominated as the party’s choice for president. (If you want the caucus/primary schedule click on the 2016 PRIMARY DATA menu item in the DollarBillBrigade.com site.) With a wall to wall, 24 hour media focus on the presidential campaigns, the public political conversation has had the oxygen sucked out of rings two and three, the Senate and House elections.

Unfortunately, all this media narrow focus has been a distraction from the very important down ticket races, not only those of the congress but important state constitutional offices and state legislatures. Remember without an operational congress, the president is generally restricted to foreign and domestic policy, executive orders and other functions which do not require congressional action. Important functions such as budgets, legislation, and appointment confirmations are the domain of the Senate and the House. Without cooperation between the executive and legislative branches of government we are looking at continued governmental crises and grid lock for years to come. There are many factors in the next years that could be a substantial change in the nature of our democracy. One may be that the next president will be in a position to select three members of the Supreme Court and scores of District Courts justices resetting judicial interpretation.

The reason for down ticket interest is the fact that $100s’ of millions in dark money is being directed to these races and that is because those whose play the political game know where they can get the maximum bang for their politically invested buck and where the power is for their particular financial interest. You don’t have to go far to find organizations and individuals who have a state interest in redistricting, gun registration, voter rights, gaming, etc. Pay attention to the real voting record of those running for re-election or higher office as opposed to their campaign rhetoric… which many times is nothing more than a pack of lies. Cautiously examine the record of gubernatorial, secretary of state candidates, and legislators to see who have done a creditable job in representing their constituents in an honest manner. There is a state where the governor has the power to replace elected officials, that state has a self inflicted lead poison problem. Another state the PUC shut down the solar rooftop industry. In another state the legislature approved an open carry gun law, etc. These are just a few of the state down ticket dysfunctional items already implemented and there are many more waiting to be disposition by those newly elected or re-elected. Remember these people affect your day to day life, do your homework, examine the down ticket ballot like your democracy depends upon it. Because it does!

THE FUTURE BEGINS TODAY!
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